Cover of Authoritarianism is a Systemic Risk
Cover of Authoritarianism is a Systemic Risk

Essay

2026

Coming soon

Authoritarianism is a Systemic Risk

Implications of Rising Autocracy on Domestic and Global Affairs

By Hardy Merriman

This title will be released on Tuesday, September 22.

About the book

Rising authoritarianism is easy to treat as an abstract problem—a distant political danger, a threat someone else needs to address, or a challenge that will take care of itself.

It is anything but.

For two decades, authoritarian governments around the world have grown stronger, more coordinated, and more aggressive. They attack political opponents at home and work to undermine democracy abroad. Meanwhile, democracies themselves have backslid—as elected demagogues foment toxic polarization, erode institutional norms, and capture the very courts and watchdogs meant to check them.

In this accessible, evidence-based essay, Hardy Merriman makes the case that this trend is not a passing storm but a systemic risk. Authoritarianism is a structural impediment to progress on nearly every issue that matters, including:

  • Peace and security

  • Gender equality

  • Human rights

  • Economic stability and growth

  • The fight against corruption

  • LGBTQ+ rights

  • Public health and human security

  • Action to address climate change

  • The growing crisis of refugees and displacement

Drawing on a wide body of research, Merriman shows how the consequences of authoritarianism compound over time, and that the case for resolute action only grows stronger the longer it is deferred.

Written for leaders in the non-profit, public, and private sectors, this volume is essential reading for any who assume that their own institutions are more durable than the evidence suggests. It details the value of democracy, the stakes of losing it, and shows that none are exempt from the impacts of authoritarian attacks.

The time to push back is now.

Written for

Scholars

About the authors

Hardy Merriman

For over 20 years, Hardy Merriman has focused on pro-democracy movements fighting authoritarian governments and democratic backsliding around the world.

He is former President & CEO of the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict (ICNC); led the Fostering a Fourth Democratic Wave project as a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council; served as a senior technical advisor to the United States Agency for International Development's (USAID) Powered by the People program; and was an adjunct lecturer at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.

His recent publications include Hold the Line: A Guide to Defending Democracy (2026); Harnessing Our Power to End Political Violence (HOPE) (2024), Fostering a Fourth Democratic Wave: A Playbook for Countering the Authoritarian Threat (2023), and We Need People Power to Address a World in Peril (2023).

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